No, I tried that. Bought down all symptoms and bought all infection methods, and nothing.

I've managed to get Madagascar a couple of times, but I've never won the game. What seems to work is starting as a parasite (lowest visibility) and then making your disease as infectious and as heat resistance as possible before purchasing the visible symptoms.

Actually, this is my main problem with the game- this strategy seems to work the best under most circumstances, which makes repeat play boring. I've taken to trying to recreate real diseases, which makes it even harder to win but is more interesting.

There is also the issue that the responses don't always make sense. Regions will shut down their borders and enforce curfews over a disease whose only symptom is a cough, if you wait too long to act.

Let's try that again, pesky humans.

One possible fix would be a transmission method that can get to an island nation with all normal means closed.

I'd also like to see second-order problems, like famines, when food-exporting regions get depopulated.

The game cries out for a version 3.0.

Oh well, I guess we're safe then. Rulers of the post apocalyptic world!

...and in that game, Greenland stayed safe. *sigh*

A friend also found this comic which seems to admirably summarise the health care policy of Madagascar.

Though occasionally the game killer's Indonesia instead.

On one hand, it is the kind of sim I dreamed about when I first got into computer games and worldbuilding, and now it's HERE, and by ghods does it look lovely!

On the other hand, I'm afraid that it is the kind of sim I dreamed about when I first got into computer games and worldbuilding, and I could easily picture myself turning into a filthy recluse who plays it nonstop.

On the other, other hand, I'm afraid that is will turn out to be utterly lame.

Yeah, Sure... Whoever put this together never heard of what Seattle did in 1918-1919. Mayor closed everything that people might gather at--theaters, museums, and so on--and the city didn't come down with the Spanish Flu but the business community got up on it's hind legs and SCREAMED until the mayor, in fear of losing the next election, caved. They opened up the town again and it was Hello, Pandemic! For some reason everyone around here knows the first part but not the second part.

Search on Sporn to see what I mean. (Varies from "Not safe for work" to "Not SAFE for WORK!")

It's pretty clear that the designer wasn't thinking about design flaws, in that sense, at all. It has more flaws than game. (There's only one decent strategy to maximize your score, it's a boring strategy to play, whether you win doesn't depend on what you do at all, you have no meaningful responses to most of the game events...) I would love to see a well-thought-out 3.0.

In the meantime, I can recommend "Endgame: Singularity" (http://www.emhsoft.com/singularity/) which has exactly the same premise except you're a *computer* virus trying to infect the Internet. Free download, not a Flash web game. I had a lot more fun playing this one; you have a lot more day-by-day decision-making, and the implied storyline has vavoom.

While the thread is going around, I should also mention the unrelated board game "Pandemic". Exactly the same premise except you are humans trying to stop the spread of the disease. (Four diseases, in fact.) Recommended. Plus I can say that I've played it, well, in the same room as Jim Macdonald.

Indeed you did, and it was to my great sorrow that time constraints meant I couldn't join it.

It was while looking for that game that I found this one.

So I don't think that you need to worry; it IS good, very good, but I doubt it will bury you in a dark room creating creatures. But maybe the really addictive bit is yet to come...

#26 As to the Sporn, yeah, in the Tribe phase, one rival tribe was such - and one of the main food animals my tribe hunted were, unfortunately, the nearby nest of Penismen. Oh well.

Bacteria. I managed to get the islands, then I got lethal, and disrupted the vaccine making; somehow.

I agree that it's not that interactive, but once or twice, to figure out the mechanics is ok.

I had one scenario start in Madagascar and it almost didn't make it out. The islands all seem to be extremely problematic in destroying.

The smug bastards in Greenland and Madagascar have closed their shipyards at last, days and days and days after Type IV of my lovely Monmothma virus had already arrived. New Zealand still hasn't. But it's everywhere now, so what would be the point?

Even without making it strong enough to infect the water-distribution system, it's everywhere. But I suppose that was the key: just enough resistance to be able to travel, but not enough resistance to attract attention.

I have been watching for some while now, from my shining and lovely and utterly self-sufficient orbital platform. Even with Type IV presenting as an utterly asymptomatic infection -- the merest tenderness in the lymph nodes -- I have watched panic spread like a cleansing flame. Governments fall to chaos; the hospital systems wink out, one by one. There are only three left. The vaccine project will take another 837 days, by my calculations.

Oh. My mistake. One left, now. Brave little Greenland.

My tiny minions have warmed up their voices, readying the aspects of themselves that will make humanity sick instead of merely jumpy. (Jumpy and selfish. And also cruel. But of course I had nothing to do with the latter two.)

And I've waited long enough, now. It's showtime. Time to sing the song of encephalitis.

I almost feel sorry for everyone.

Oh well - allons-y!

Curse you, Madagascar!

The spelling and grammar mistakes indicate it was made in a hurry (so does Madagascar, actually - although seeing its population reduced to zero makes you feel just that much better ...), but it's the perfect antidote to a Bad Day.

Wipe them out. All of them.

My second effort, Lolcat Snuggles, successfully snuggled everyone except Madagascar.

Player decision-making only matters for a limited window at the beginning of play. The only viable course of action is to curtail early symptoms, ramp up resistances/communicability, and hope that it randomly lands on all the island regions before they raise shields and go to red alert. Cute, but very limited.

But not Australia and Japan.

I think that what the game needs are mechanisms equivalent to the initial panic of plagues, where public health measures meant to limit infection convince some of the people that the area is doomed, causing them to flee to other areas and so carry the plague with them; and also the later panic, where sufficient mortality causes an unravelling of the social fabric, and survivors flee to other areas that haven't yet reached the post-apocalyptic stage.

I was still thwarted by Madagascar's prescient port closing, well before that.

Determined to have one last crack at it, I conceived a disease called Hydrocyanic Farts. I made it a parasite, immediately removed -all- symptoms, and boosted its resistances/communicability as fast as possible. That one made it to all the island nations before 100k people worldwide were infected. Then once the benign version of the disease had landed everywhere, I started turning the screws with killer symptoms. And so I got 'em all, but it took a long, long time, and my final score was actually lower than that of my earlier failures.

What a 3.0 version needs, off the top of my head, is:

Non-absolute mechanics. Right now nobody is immune, nobody gets better, nobody is a symptomless carrier, nobody gets through a closed border. Change all of those to probabilities.

Also, right now, nobody is born and nobody dies in a car accident. I realize these things are not what the game is about, but seeing the accurate-to-the-ones-place demographic figures scroll by with *only* the disease affecting them is bad for the disbelief-suspension. I'd rather see rounded (or percentage) figures, and accept that the goal of the game is to reduce the population of each zone *near* zero.

...which would also cut down on the boring phase where there are 100 people and you're waiting for them to die one by one. (It's using exponential decay, more or less, which means the deaths slow down as the population declines. Tweak that, please -- it's both boring *and* unrealistic.)

Bigger change of design: allow multiple diseases. Rather than firing off one (and having to manipulate its symptoms in a very stylized way to infect *everybody*), you should start one plague with a small number of points. It will be weak and not kill very many people; but it gets you points with which you launch a *second*, more virulent disease. And so on.

This gives you a more traditional resource-building game -- you're not absolutely screwed by the first vaccine, you just have to make sure you've got your second disease out by the time the first one is cured. If you can get more points each cycle than you spend, you make progress and eventually win. If you mishandle things or overspend, the CDC catches up with you and cures your last extant disease before you've built up enough points to make anything worse than 24-hour sneeze-warts.

re Seattle during the Pandemic Flu -- I don't suppose you remember your sources? My partner is fascinated by the Great Flu, and lives in Seattle...and there's always another birthday/anniversay/gosh-you're-wonderful gift giving occasion coming up.

My cute little parasitic Akkerworm started in Madagascar (I cheated by restarting whenever the game tried to start anywhere else), took about two months to get everywhere, and then more than half a year to infect everyone and kill everyone off. Even Marshall Law himself couldn't stop it, but it got a bit boring towards the end.

Andrew Plotkin @47, are you sure about noone getting born? I had the impression that populations increased sometimes.

*shuffles feet*

I kept remembering scenes from the movie "28 Weeks Later", about which I still have nightmares.

I think I'll try again when I'm not feeling quite to philanthropic. :D

I designed a similar game back in the Seventies. One side played the epidemic, the other the epidemiologists.

It was called POX AND DOCS.

(While syphilis does seem to have gotten less lethal over the years (or super-reactions got bred out of Europe very fast), smallpox never did learn to be less deadly.)

Sure, it's not a win in the game, but this kind of result in real life would be the stuff of horror films, wouldn't it?

I was actually quite heartened. While it's formulaically possible in the context of the game to wipe everybody out (and I was having a very bad day, so it was cathartic as well), the game mechanics reassured me that circumstances would have to be improbably, nay freakishly, abnormal for such a critter to actually develop in vivo.

Your disease would have to develop multiple ways of transmission, hella-powerful resistances to everything and have an awful lot of luck - before it exhibited any CDC-alerting symptoms - to even have a chance. Of course, panic and other human behaviour might well help the transmission, and that wasn't built into the game, but then, neither was antibody production or non-lethal exposure, so I'm prepared to call that even.

All in all, heartening. But if things get hairy, I'm moving to New Zealand. :)

The overall case-fatality rate for ordinary-type smallpox is about 30%, but varies by pock distribution: ordinary type-confluent is fatal about 50–75% of the time, ordinary-type semi-confluent about 25–50% of the time, in cases where the rash is discrete the case-fatality rate is less than 10%.

An example of a virus that never evolved low lethality in humans is rabies. It just sits there out there in its reservoir of bats and skunks and such, occasionally sighing wistfully over an old autographed photo of Stephen King...

I definitely have seen populations increasing. In fact, in one of my games when I was just starting out, the infected population kept going down for no readily apparent reason...people seemed to be getting better faster than I was getting new infections. But total population was going up as well.

You have a 50/50 chance of getting Madagascar...90% of the time you don't.

James Macdonald @ 11:
I'd also like to see second-order problems, like famines, when food-exporting regions get depopulated.

Aside from that, I think there's a fair chance that, if some kind of disaster would wipe out half of mankind, the social, economic and political fallout would lead to tensions and conflicts that would eventually become so serious that some politicians, somewhere would press the red button and wipe out the other half.

By the way, do the natural disasters do anything aside from showing up as news?

Here are the notes I made on how the game went:

Parasite, started in Peru, evolved to have w sweating, nausea and cysts, (sold a few high-visibility symptoms, like blindness) level 1 for cold, heat and moisture, level 2 for drugs, rodent and airborne transmission, until all nations infected, and first vaccine attempt failed. Then started piling on the lethal symptoms. Madagascar was one of the first 5 regions it spread to. 36950 points.

Like Theresa, I've found that cysts makes the disease almost invisible while remaining infectious enough to spread.